Purdue v #23 Boston College Prediction
This is not the season we expected
Purdue has struggled to put any numbers in the win column and its not going to get any easier as we play host to Boston College who are ranked No. 23 coming into this game. the last time we played against a ranked team at home was against Michigan last season who was ranked No. 10. The energy and the fighting spirit Purdue displayed against the tiger's last game was outstanding and I hope we can continue that against the Eagles this week.
Purdue
2018 Record: 0-3 (Lost to Missouri)
Purdue's offense was explosive last week against the Tigers as they put up huge numbers through he air as Blough broke the single game record with 572 passing yards. Overall, Purdue is shaping to be a more pass oriented team averaging about 326 yds/gm. with the added bonus of the run game averaging about 195 yds/gm Now the run game didn't have too much success against Mizzou with only 42 yards. But we have seen in the past that the run game can be explosive. Blough will most likely be the starter as it is unclear whether Sindelar will play due to an injury he suffered in practice. And Blough can be great when he has time to set up his throws, and if the O-line can have the same success it did last week, Blough will have no trouble throwing it downfield.
One of the weakness I can see is that BC holds opponents to 176 yds/gm on the passing game and if they can get enough pressure on Blough, that won't give him enough time to setup his throw and can really limit how far down field he can throw. the second thing is the run game. Now while BC has a good run block, its not all that great as they hold offenses to 187 yds/gm. We have seen the success that the run game has, but we can also see when its not effective. Now while limiting the run game won't be detrimental to us, its just something to consider as it could for a lot more pressure on the O-line to protect Blough as we might chuck it downfield more often.
#23 Boston College
2018 Record: 3-0 (Won at Wake Forest)
Their offense is good, On paper, they look more like a run oriented team but that doesn't mean that they can be explosive in the passing game as well. They average about 286 yds/gm on the ground as well as 291 yds/gm through the air. Anthony Brown will most likely start for the Eagles in this game
as he has had a pretty good year so far as he is averaging about 208 yds/gm through the air. And he has a modest completion rate of 68% which is far better than 51% last season as well as zero INT's. The one thing that is scary is that he's averaging 13 yds/comp. So it should be Purdue's top priority to get pressure on him.
Now there is not much in the way of weaknesses as Purdue's defense is not that great at stopping the pass (allowing 319 yd/gm) so in this case BC can just throw the ball down field and have a high chance of some big gain plays. Now the one thing that can be dangerous for BC is the run game. As the Boilermakers allow 156 yds/gm on average. This can be huge as it can force BC to make more plays downfield since the run won't be as effective in previous games. And this could be interesting as since BC hasn't made more than 27 attempts downfield and only average just 36 att/gm and this could allow the defense to tighten their pass coverage on Brown and see if they can force a little bit of pressure.
Verdict
Its always hard to predict Purdue games as this can go either way as Purdue is sooooo close to something so I kinda want to pick the upset, but then again, BC is a really good team (as they are ranked 23 in the nation). So while this may look like a hard choice, I'm gonna have to play it safe and go for Boston College as Purdue is nowhere near perfection, and while the defense is slowly improving. There is just too many things that need to improve on.
Now, this will certainly be a fun offensive game to watch.
Boiler UP
.
Purdue
2018 Record: 0-3 (Lost to Missouri)
Purdue's offense was explosive last week against the Tigers as they put up huge numbers through he air as Blough broke the single game record with 572 passing yards. Overall, Purdue is shaping to be a more pass oriented team averaging about 326 yds/gm. with the added bonus of the run game averaging about 195 yds/gm Now the run game didn't have too much success against Mizzou with only 42 yards. But we have seen in the past that the run game can be explosive. Blough will most likely be the starter as it is unclear whether Sindelar will play due to an injury he suffered in practice. And Blough can be great when he has time to set up his throws, and if the O-line can have the same success it did last week, Blough will have no trouble throwing it downfield.
One of the weakness I can see is that BC holds opponents to 176 yds/gm on the passing game and if they can get enough pressure on Blough, that won't give him enough time to setup his throw and can really limit how far down field he can throw. the second thing is the run game. Now while BC has a good run block, its not all that great as they hold offenses to 187 yds/gm. We have seen the success that the run game has, but we can also see when its not effective. Now while limiting the run game won't be detrimental to us, its just something to consider as it could for a lot more pressure on the O-line to protect Blough as we might chuck it downfield more often.
#23 Boston College
2018 Record: 3-0 (Won at Wake Forest)
Their offense is good, On paper, they look more like a run oriented team but that doesn't mean that they can be explosive in the passing game as well. They average about 286 yds/gm on the ground as well as 291 yds/gm through the air. Anthony Brown will most likely start for the Eagles in this game
as he has had a pretty good year so far as he is averaging about 208 yds/gm through the air. And he has a modest completion rate of 68% which is far better than 51% last season as well as zero INT's. The one thing that is scary is that he's averaging 13 yds/comp. So it should be Purdue's top priority to get pressure on him.
Now there is not much in the way of weaknesses as Purdue's defense is not that great at stopping the pass (allowing 319 yd/gm) so in this case BC can just throw the ball down field and have a high chance of some big gain plays. Now the one thing that can be dangerous for BC is the run game. As the Boilermakers allow 156 yds/gm on average. This can be huge as it can force BC to make more plays downfield since the run won't be as effective in previous games. And this could be interesting as since BC hasn't made more than 27 attempts downfield and only average just 36 att/gm and this could allow the defense to tighten their pass coverage on Brown and see if they can force a little bit of pressure.
Verdict
Its always hard to predict Purdue games as this can go either way as Purdue is sooooo close to something so I kinda want to pick the upset, but then again, BC is a really good team (as they are ranked 23 in the nation). So while this may look like a hard choice, I'm gonna have to play it safe and go for Boston College as Purdue is nowhere near perfection, and while the defense is slowly improving. There is just too many things that need to improve on.
Now, this will certainly be a fun offensive game to watch.
Boiler UP
.
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